Strike hardFixed ambition is high Nicolas Sarkozy wants to strike hardThe result of the discussion is expected backUnless the Parliament is the double speedBaudouin Prot is much to this distinctionOn the year the firm IDC anticipates a decline of 1Polls are fleeting grudges are tenacious4 billion of dollars of aid promised in 2007Such a level of excellence is not improvisedI thedo so with conviction and enthusiasmHe had that Boeing buys 5 of the EADS sharesForce mobilize all their energy to save the financial systems to drift, the Governments may ignore the major issues, long term, the current crisis: unemployment, poverty and the social and political consequences that both may have. This is the warning message, launched yesterday, the International Labour Office (ILO), in a provided employment, in Geneva. After the technical rescue of the world economy, the time has come to provide a political response, because anger thunders, summarized the Director General of the ILO, Juan Somavia. "The consequences of the crisis are widely mutualisées, while the benefits of the previous growth, they were very concentrated," he lamented, before estimate that there are now "legitimate frustration which emerges". All that only 10-15 of funds in stimulus are now linked to employment support policies.
"A net impoverishment".
A figure to take the extent of the issue: between 2007 and late 2009, the ILO economists now expect that the number of unemployed will increase from 39 to 59 million in the world! It is not only a very strong increase, notes Stefano Scarpetta, head of the issues of employment in the OECD, but especially "faster than ever before degradation."
This is added the situation of workers in the informal sector, majority in poor and emerging countries. Difficult to calculate unemployment in such cases, as the loss of a job instead, then, by "a return to subsistence farming, resulting a net impoverishment", note Stefano Scarpetta. The situation is even more critical, says the ILO, for demographic reasons, should create 300 million jobs over the next five years. But the time is rather to the shortage. The number of available jobs will increase by less than 1 this year at the global level. And it is already declining in many developed countries.
Unfortunately, historical hindsight gives reason to the pessimists of the ILO: they are that during previous crises, the job market still departed well after economic conditions. On average, up to now, the employment rate has regained its levels of before crisis between four and five years after economic recovery. Must specify that it was an average "hiding large disparities, with some countries more than eight years to find their level of before crisis", prevents Stefano Scarpetta.
Which axis favour
In this context, the urgency for action seems indisputable. Question is how. How lead mobilization global while the ILO does not have any power on the world's Governments and that neither China, nor India, nor even the United States or the Japan have ratified the eight fundamental conventions on the rights of workers Nicolas Sarkozy has therefore lobbied for an increased role for the institution (see below).
Then, the protective speech of the ILO which axis favour between (backup jobs, increased support for the most vulnerable populations, protection against discrimination of workers...) and focusing more on the flexibility of labour markets, that generally support institutions such as the OECD For Stefano Scarpetta, the two are not incompatible: "given the violence of the crisis, we must urgently support vulnerable populations.". Provided do not forget the structural reforms when growth will return.
